摘要
通过利用经济增长指标、股市指标和金融发展水平指标,对中国股市、银行业和宏观经济数据进行实证研究发现:我国银行业发展水平和贷款率指标,对于人均实际的GDP增长具有一定的正向推动关系,而且成交额比率与人均实际GDP的增长和储蓄存款存在着反向作用。从而得出的结论是,我国银行业的发展水平对宏观经济的影响要远远强于股市的影响作用。
Through using economy growth target, the stock market target and the index of finance level of development, to Chinese Stock market, the banking industry and the macroscopic economical data conducts the real diagnosis research to discover that,Our country Banking industry level of development and the loan rate target, have certain forward impetus relations regarding the average per person actual GDP growth, moreover the volume of bnsiness ratio and the average per person actual GDP growth and the savings deposit have the reverse function, thns obtains the conclusion is： Our country Banking industry＇s level of development to the macroscopic economical influence by far stronger than stock market＇s inflnence function.
出处
《商业经济》
2006年第12期16-17,共2页
Business & Economy
基金
2006年浙江省金融学会调研课题(200639)资助。
关键词
中国股市
银行
宏观经济
Chinese stock market
Bank
Macroscopic economy
