甘肃省人口增长对资源、环境、经济发展压力的历史分析及预测

HISTORICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE PRESSURE OF POPULATION INCREASE ON ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN GANSU PROVINCE

本文以区域生态系统理论为指导,在分析甘肃人口历史发展及趋势预测的基础上,探讨人口增长对资源、环境压力的动态过程,以及人口增长对经济发展的影响。明晰甘肃人口增长对资源、环境、经济发展影响的历史特征及未来趋势,并提出协调人口、资源、环境与经济发展关系的初步意见,以实现区域可持续发展战略。

With the guidance of regional ecological systematic theory, and on the basis of analysing the historical development of population in Gansu province and forecasting its future tendency, the paper probes the dynamic process of the pressure of population increase on resources, environment, and the its effects on economic development. To sum up, the paper gives the historical characteristics of population increase on economic development and resources environment, and finally puts forward some suggestions of coordinating the relationships among population increase, resources, environment and economic development in order to carry out regional sustained development strategy.