浅谈公路项目诱增和转移交通量的预测方法

Forecasting Method for Traffic Volume Transfer and Traffic Volume to be Increased in Highway Projects

公路交通量一般包括趋势交通量、诱增交通量、转移交通量三部分。目前趋势交通量预测大都采用国际通用的以OD调查为基础的“四阶段”法,但诱增交通量和转移交通量却没有比较成熟的预测方法,故对此进行探讨和研究,对于改进和提高公路建设项目可行性研究的方法和水平具有重要意义。

Traffic volume generally includes volume prediction, volume transfer and volume to be increased. At present, traffic volume prediction mostly adopts ＂four stages＂ method that international agreed as law based on OD investigation, but volume transfer and volume to be increased have no matured forecasting method. So, research on it has signification for improving and upgrading the feasible method for highway construction project.