人口与基础教育发展趋势预测模型研究及应用

Research on the Population and Primary Education Developing Prediction Modeling and Its Application

以西藏人口与基础教育发展为研究对象,应用灰色系统理论建立了一个新的出生人口预测模型,还分别建立了小学和初中招生数、分年级在校生规模、在校生总量的预测模型,并结合近几年西藏自治区教育统计结果,给出了应用实例.

Regarded the population of Tibet and primary education developing as object that is investigated, the present paper established a new additional population grey prediction model with grey system theory, based on the new mode, Some models on the amounts of enrollment, campus students on different grades, total campus students, requirements and replenishes on teachers for primary and junior middle education are established in this paper. One example is also present based on the given models according to the results of Tibet autonomous regional education development statistics.