中国制造业比较优势变迁的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis on the Evolving Comparative Advantage of Chinese Manufacturing Sectors

采用独立随机增量过程马尔可夫链的方法对中国149个制造业行业的比较优势动态变迁进行实证分析,旨在反映产业比较优势的演变特征。实证分析结果显示,产业比较优势的各个状态均以较高的概率保持在原有状态,由此反映出中国制造业的比较优势模式和专业化分工模式的演变具有固化性的特征。

In this paper we apply the independent stochastic process Markov chains to perform the empirical analysis of dynamics of Chinese comparative advantage basing on recent data for 149 manufacturing sectors in order to illustrate the evolution of Chinese Comparative advantage. The result shows the greater probabilities of remaining in the same cell for each state. Therefore, we find evidence of persistence in patterns of Chinese manufacturing comparative advantage and international specialization.