摘要
将灰色系统理论与马尔可夫链方法相结合，提出了灰色模型——马尔可夫链预测当前非法出入境活动发展趋势的方法，以某年至桌年出入境统计的原始数据为依据，通过MATLAB鳊程建立起微分拟合方程和系统状态转移概率矩阵，对当前非法出入境活动的发展趋势进行了预测和分析。
The present predicting on smuggling is done by means of quantitative analysis method through calculating and predicting based on collected records arranged according to time sequence. This paper raises a method to predict the trend of smuggling by combining Grey＇ s system theory and Markovian Chain method. This new method revolves around the statistics ×××× - ×××× and sets up a equation using MATLAB Program to predict the trend of present smuggling activities.
出处
《武警学院学报》
2006年第6期5-8,共4页
Journal of the Armed Police Academy
