摘要
提出一种含趋势项的周期迭加模式，并将它用于鄱阳湖年最高水位的长期预报，效果较好，明显优于不含趋势项的常规周期迭加模式．
The periodic superposition model including trend items is presented in this paper, and it was used to forecast the year highest water- level of Poyang Lake. The good results was achieved. It's' proved that this kind of forecast model is much better than the common medel which doesn't include trend items.
出处
《江西水利科技》
1996年第3期150-154,共5页
Jiangxi Hydraulic Science & Technology
关键词
单向性变化
趋势项
周期迭加
水文预报
Unidirectional variation
Trend items
Periodic superposition
Poyang Lake
Thehighest water- level of year
