灰色系统理论在预测路面使用性能中的应用

Application of Grey Theory in Predicting the Road Usage performance

根据灰色系统理论建立GM(1,1)模型预测路面的使用性能,结合实例讨论了具体的预测方法和过程,并与人工神经网络(ANN)预测方法进行比较。预测结果和质量分析表明,灰色系统理论预测效果较优。

Based on a grey systematical theory,GM(1,1) model is established for predicting the road usage performance.The method and process of the prediction are discussed in combination with examples,and an artificial neural network method is used to compare it.The result and quality analysis show that the grey theory is of optimal prediction effect.