基于灰色系统理论的潜艇作战效能评估

Effect Evaluation for Submarine Combat Capability Based on Grey System Theory

为研究潜艇装备的作战使用效能,提出其效能评价指标体系。用改进的权重分析法确定潜艇作战效能评价指标权重,用改进的灰色评估理论建立潜艇作战效能评估模型。以某常规潜艇为例,用建立的模型进行量化评估,能充分利用决策者的判断信息,较为准确地反映实际情况。该模型可为部队训练和作战提供潜艇装备的战斗效能数据,找出影响潜艇作战能力的敏感因素,为发展新型装备提供依据。

For researching the operation effect of submarine weapons, this paper presents the effect index system. It defines the index weights by improved weight analysis, and establishes its evaluation model by improved gray theory. Taking conventional submarine as an example and making quantized evaluation with this model, it can fully make use of the estimated information from commanders to reflect the actual situation correctly. It may provide data of operation effect for submarine training and operation, and find out sensitive factor which influences the operation capability, and finally, it may offer reference for new submarine weapons.