连徐高速公路对沿线地区经济增长贡献的实证分析

A Practical Analysis of Contribution of Lian-Xu Expressway to Regional Economic Growth

高速公路对于区域经济增长的促进作用已经得到国内外的广泛认可，通过连徐高速公路对沿线地区经济增长贡献的实证分析可以准确评估项目对沿线经济增长的作用，也为后续项目的决策和管理提供借鉴。从连徐高速公路与沿线经济的柙关性入手，分析了2003年～2005年项目对于沿线地区经济增长的直接贡献，并对2006年-2010年项目的贡献进行预测。计算结果表明，连徐高速公路建设项目与沿线经济是协同发展的，其建成通车对于沿线地区的经济增长起着不容忽视的推动作用。

The function of expressway on the regional economic growth is broadly admissive at domestic and abroad. The practical analysis of the contribution of Lian-Xu Expressway can assess exactly the impact of the project to regional economic growth, and provide reference for the construction and management of the following projects. Beginning with the correlative analysis of Lian-Xu Expressway and the regional economy, the contribution from 2003 to 2005 is calculated, and the contribution from 2006 to 2012 is forecasted. The results show that Lian-Xu Expressway cooperates with the regional economic development and promotes the regional economic growth directly.