中日经贸合作的新动态及其发展趋势

New Dynamics and Trends in Sino-Japanese Economic and Trade Cooperation

时下学界对中日经贸关系的现状及其发展趋势的判断不尽相同,依据中日双方有关统计数据进行综合分析后,本文认为,“经热”降温的动向值得注意,但现在做出“经凉”或“经冷”的判断尚嫌草率。再从中日两国产业贸易结构的现状分析看,可以肯定,未来一个时期中日两国的竞争领域将有所扩大,但互补性的特点不会发生根本性改变,两国将呈现经济互补、竞争并存的发展趋势。

There exist different views on the status and trends of Sino-Japanese economic and trade cooperation in academia nowadays. By analyzing the relevant statistical data for the two countries, this paper identifies a decelerating tendency of the originally overheated economic relationship, but it is imprudent to conclude that Sino-Japanese economic and trade cooperation is turning cold. The result of the industrial structural analysis reveals that more competition can be expected in the near future, however, the essential complementarity will keep unchanged. I argue that the trends of the bilateral economic and trade cooperation will be featured with the coexistence of both complementary and competitive relationships.