国际工程承包风险预警系统的构建

The construction of early warning system of international engineering contract

国际工程承包风险预警系统包含风险识别分析、风险预警和风险规避对策3个模块.风险识别模块是系统地对风险相关事件进行挖掘与分类的过程.风险预警模块的主要任务是确定风险预警的指标体系,并运用数学方法建立综合评价模型,测算出国际工程承包项目的风险程度.风险对策模块针对发出预警信号的风险因素分析其性质,寻找应对的方法,使承包商尽量规避风险,减少甚至不遭受损失.

The early warning system of international engineering contract are risk identification ＆ analysis module, early warning module and risk countermeasure module. Risk identification ＆ analysis module is a process carrying on systematical risk mining and categorizing. The main mission of the risk early - warning module is to design a risk early -waming index system, compare the score of a certain risk index with the ear- ly - warning scope, and send out an early waming signal if the risk factor outruns the early - warning scope. Moreover, a comprehensive evaluation model is set up to measure the comprehensive function of those various risks to the international engineering contract, and get the risk degree of it. The risk countermeasure module analyzes the risk factors that send out early -warning signal, and look for countermeasures to make the contractor evade risks as far as possible, reduce and even do not suffer loss.