河南省PRED系统分析评价与可持续发展研究

THE ANALYSIS OF PRED SYSTEM AND THE STUDY ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN HENAN PROVINCE

据全国第五次人口普查,河南省已成为我国第一人口大省。利用第五次人口普查资料,本文对河南省的人口、资源(重点是矿产资源、土地资源、水资源)、环境现状与问题进行了深入分析。在此基础上,对河南省PRED系统进行了定量评价。本文指出河南省的人口、资源、环境的可持续发展问题的根源在人口,可持续发展问题的解决在于人力、人才资源的合理开发与利用。据此,本文提出了人口控制与人力资源开发、资源的开源与节流、环境的保护与建设以及城镇化等对策。

Considering the particularity of PRED in Henan Province and applying the general framework of PRED regional sustainable development indicators, the authors have designed a four-level indicator system for the assessment of regional sustainable development in Henan. The hierarchy system includes throe first-level indexes （e.g. social, economic and environmental sustainable development） and 9, 41 and 69 indexes at 2nd, 3rd and 4th level respectively. The four levels of indicators for all regions in Henan are calculated and the characteristics of regional PRED arc generalized. In addition, Zhengzhou, as the capital of Hcnan Province and the leading city of the Central Megalopolis of China, are analyzed particularly. It is found that the ability of the sustainable development of Zhengzhou needs to be strengthened from every aspect, which will make the city groups in central China become an organic group and boost the sustainable development of the province and the surrounding regions. The authors argue that the fundamental issue of the sustainable development in Henan Province is the pressure of population and the possible solution depends on long-term development and utilization of the labor and talent resources reasonably. Several strategies and tactics on population control, human resources development, natural resources exploitation） environmental protection and urbanization are suggested.