中国各省新型工业化水平的统计分析

The Multi-targets Factor Analysis of New Industrialization of China

由于历史原因,我国工业各个方面的发展很不平衡,有些方面发展较突出,而另外一些方面发展严重滞后.因此,如果按照传统工业化理论仅从单一方面来度量工业化阶段,就必然是结论迥异.自从党的十六大提出了新型工业化理论以后,学术界对我国走新型工业化道路理论的定性研究较多,但深入定量对比研究却较为鲜见.笔者采用了多指标评价体系的分析方法,从333部公报、50部年鉴和各类网站中,共收集并整理到了全国30个省区2004年2 010个数据.采用国际权威统计软件SAS编辑程序进行因子分析,计算出总因子得分,然后给出了各省新型工业化相对水平的量化描述,通过聚类分析找出了新型工业化结构相似的省份.

As a result of the historical reason, our country industry each aspect development is not very balanced, some aspects develop prominently, but other some aspects develop the serious lag. Therefore, if only measures the industrialization stage according to the traditional industrialization theory from the sole aspect, inev- itably is the conclusion is different. The new industrialization theory is proposed, the academic circles walks the new industrializstion path theory qualitative investigation to our country to be more, but thorough quota contrast research actually more rarely seen. The author has used the multi-targets appraisal system analysis method, from 333 bulletins, 50 yearbooks and each kind of website, altogether collected and reorganizes 2 010 data of 30 provinces in 2004. Uses the intemational authority to count the software SAS edit routine to carry on the factor analysis, calculates the total factor to score points, then has produced various provinces new industrialization relative level quantification description, through gathered a kind of analysis to discover new industrialization structure similar province.