大型项目融资风险度量

Financing Risk Measurement of Largescale Projects

投资项目呈现越来越强的不确定性和多样性,投资决策面临着对这些不确定性带来的风险的度量和防范.基于源于热力学的熵度量系统不确定性的研究思想,再结合概率分析,同时综合考虑利润与风险之间的联系,多角度、多方位对风险进行度量,形成了一个完整的风险评价过程,把它应用到项目投资决策中去,可以优选出合适的项目融资方案.

With the uncertainty and diversity of investment projects, decision-makers have to measure and prevent risks which come from these uncertainties. Based on uncertainty concept of entropy, by use of the analysis of probability,considering the connection of profit and risk, a complete process of risk appraisal is formed,which can measure risks in multi-azimuth and multi-angle. So we can make use of this method in investment decision to choose an optimal financing scheme of project.