灰色预测模型GM(1,1)及其在山东省GDP预测中的应用

A Grey Forecasting Model GM(1,1) and its Application in GDP Forecasting of Shandong

运用灰色理论研究了山东省国内生产总值(GDP)1996年至2005年的变化规律,建立了山东省国内生产总值预测的灰色模型,并对2006年至2010年山东省国内生产总值作了预测.利用灰色关联度分析,分析了山东省第一、二、三产业对国内生产总值的影响程度.

The rule of how GDP of Sandong from 1996 to 2005 changed is discussed based on grey theory, a grey model to forecast GDP is constituted, and GDP from 2006 to 2010 is forecasted. The extent that the first, second and third industry influence GDP of Sandong is discussed by grey incidenee degree analysis.