核扩散与反扩散:当代国际安全深化的困境——以朝鲜核试验为例

Deepening Predicament of International Security:The DPRK's Nuclear Test and Its Empirical Implications

核武器的扩散与反扩散,一直是冷战结束以来国际关系研究中最引人注目的安全课题之一。2006年10月9日,朝鲜核试验的进行使东亚安全面临严峻挑战。不管未来朝核问题如何解决,但这一事件已经再度引起关于“究竟应该如何看待国际核扩散”的争论。本文通过分析有关核扩散与反扩散之间的理论争论,以朝鲜核试验为案例来研究一个拥有核武器的朝鲜与这些争论之间的关系。最后,文章得出的结论是,国际反扩散制度必须进一步加强。

International non-proliferation regime is the benchmark of post-Cold War security in the world.However,the debate between proliferation pessimists and optimists has never stopped despite of the internationally shared consensus of pushing nuclear nonproliferation agenda.The DPRK's nuclear test on October 9 of 2006 explicitly induces new imperatives into the daunting question of if nuclear nonproliferation is inevitable.Pyongyang's top leader accounts mostly for his decision to test nuclear bomb,rather than his strong demand for securing the country.The ongoing debate on nuclear proliferation urges new growing necessity of introducing new analytical framework into non-proliferation study.