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The Precursory Meanings of the Deviation of the Magnitude-Frequency Distribution of Earthquakes from the Gutenberg-Richter Law

The Precursory Meanings of the Deviation of the Magnitude-Frequency Distribution of Earthquakes from the Gutenberg-Richter Law
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摘要 The Gutenberg-Richter law (G-R law) of the magnitude-frequency distribution of earthquakes has been an important base in seismology for a long time. However, the actual magnitude-frequency distribution usually deviates from the G-R law. Based on the experimental results of three different rock samples, which contain macro-asperity, compressional en-echelon fault and model-Ⅲ shear fault, the correlative coefficient (r) was calculated by fitting the sequences of the acoustic emissions with the G-R law in every scanning time window. We investigated the changes of the correlative coefficient, which describes the actual deviation of magnitude-frequency distribution of earthquakes from the G-R law within the specific scanning time window. According to the results of the rock samples containing macro-asperity and compressional en-echelon fault respectively, the value decreases prior to the rock fracture, meaning that the deviation of magnitude-frequency distribution from the G-R law tends to be larger. The result of the model-Ⅲ shear fault didn’t show obvious decrease before the final rock fracture. Actually, the studies of some earthquakes also show deviation before the occurrence of moderate earthquakes. The results obtained in this paper will provide us with some useful clues for studying precursors before the occurrence of moderate earthquakes with the data of regional earthquake activities. The Gutenberg-Richter law (G-R law) of the magnitude-frequency distribution of earthquakes has been an important base in seismology for a long time. However, the actual magnitude- frequency distribution usually deviates from the G-R law. Based on the experimental results of three different rock samples, which contain macro-asperity, compressional en-echelon fault and model-Ⅲ shear fault, the correlative coefficient (r) was calculated by fitting the sequences of the acoustic emissions with the G-R law in every scanning time window. We investigated the changes of the correlative coefficient, which describes the actual deviation of magnitudefrequency distribution of earthquakes from the G-R law within the specific scanning time window. According to the results of the rock samples containing macro-asperity and compressional en-echelon fault respectively, the value decreases prior to the rock fracture, meaning that the deviation of magnitude-frequency distribution from the G-R law tends to be larger. The result of the model-Ⅲ shear fault didn't show obvious decrease before the final rock fracture. Actually, the studies of some earthquakes also show deviation before the occurrence of moderate earthquakes. The results obtained in this paper will provide us with some useful clues for studying precursors before the occurrence of moderate earthquakes with the data of regional earthquake activities.
出处 《Earthquake Research in China》 2006年第4期426-434,共9页 中国地震研究(英文版)
基金 This research was sponsored by the Joint EarthquakeScience Foundation,China (A07007)
关键词 地震 预测 幅值-频率分布偏差 Gutenberg-Richter定律 Rock fracture experiment Gutenberg-Richter law Deviation Earthquakeprediction
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