转轨时期中国城乡居民消费行为比较研究

The Consumption Study of Chinese Urban and Rural Households Consumption Behavior in Transitional Period

本文选取分省(市、自治区)的板块统计数据,运用预防性储蓄和流动性约束假说以及动态建模方法,对转轨时期中国城乡居民的消费行为特征进行了比较研究。实证检验结果表明,中国城镇居民中受流动性约束者的比重要大于农村居民,而农村居民对不确定性以及实际利率变动的反应则要比城镇居民更加敏感,同时,其长期收入弹性系数也较城镇居民要高一些。因此,解决目前的消费不振,迫切需要更多地关注农村和农民问题。

Though there has been a rapid growth in china＇s investment, it is still backward and slow in the increase of aggregate consumption. So it is very important of changing the style of economic growth in China. This paper study the consumption features of both urban consumer and rural consumer （with the com- parative method）, using panal data set. We draw a conclusion, the effects of liquidity constraints for urban consumer are stronger than that of liquidity constraints for rural consumer, on the contrary, rural consumer have stronger precautionary motive than urban consumer.