广东省城镇居民人均消费影响因素研究

An Analysis of the Factors Influencing the Per Capita Consumption of Urban Residents of Guangdong Province

笔者通过建立广东省城镇居民人均消费性支出的计量经济模型,对影响广东省城镇居民消费支出的可能因素进行分析,发现城镇居民人均收入、城镇居民消费价格总指数及城镇居民收入差距对广东省城镇居民人均消费性支出,具有重要的影响。而利率因素因受目前我国宏观经济运行环境及居民消费心理惯性等因素的影响,对城镇居民消费行为并未产生预期的影响。

Through constructing the mathematical model of per capita consumptive expenditure of urban residents of Guangdong province and analyzing the possible factors influencing the consumptive expenditure of urban residents of Guangdong province, this paper reveals that the per capita income, CPI and income differences of urban residents have significant influence on the per capita consumptive expenditure of urban residents of Guangdong province. However, affected by the macro economic environment of our country and the consumption habits of residents, interest rate has failed to exert the predicted influence on the consumption behavior of urban residents.