国家意愿与西部地区经济的持续增长——基于陕西的实证研究

State Disposition and Sustainable Economic Growth in Western China—Empirical Study Based on Shaanxi Province

本文通过建立一简单的新古典经济增长核算模型,对西部地区经济增长绩效进行了实证分析。结果表明,由政府主导的西部大开发战略的实施,推动了西部地区经济的快速增长。但是,其增长在很大程度上所依赖的是资本要素的投入特别是政府投资的增加,而非要素生产率水平的提高。这意味着,继续维持这种粗放型的经济增长模式,西部地区经济的持续增长将难以为继,而且对于西部地区经济结构的调整、市场的发育以及生产率水平的提高将会产生极为不利的影响。

This paper conducts an empirical analysis on the economic growth in West China through establishing a simple neo-classical economic growth accounting model.The results show that the government-led implementation of Western development strategy promoted the sustainable economic growth in the region.However,the growth is largely dependent on capital inputs especially government investment rather than on factor productivity.This means that West China's sustainable growth would be difficult to maintain and the regional economic structure,market development and productivity would be in disadvantageous position if this situation continues.