摘要
本文详细介绍和分析X-11-AR IMA季节调整方法,为进一步研究和应用季节调整方法提供有益的探索。利用X-11-AR IMA方法分析国际取暖油价季节性波动,探讨油价运动规律,为我国进口石油提供决策支持。
The paper mainly introduces and analyzes X-11 -ARIMA seasonal adjustment method in detail. The aim is to provide some helpful grope for further research and application of seasonal adjustment method in our country. Using X-11 -ARIMA method, we analyze seasonal fluctuation of international heating oil price and its movement discipline, in order to provide decision support for importing oil of our country.
出处
《数理统计与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第1期62-67,共6页
Journal of Applied Statistics and Management
基金
国家"十五"科技攻关项目(2004BA616A-01-16)
国家自然科学基金(#70531040)
