面向2008年奥运会女子新兴田赛项目的成绩预测

Predicting Scores of Women's Rising Events in Field of 2008 Olympic Games

运用数学建模法为主的方法,对我国和世界女子三级跳远、女子撑杆跳高、女子链球(以上三个项目均为女子新兴田赛项目)的成绩进行预测。通过预测可知,2008年女子链球成绩有望进入当年世界排名前三名;而两个跳跃项目通过努力,可望进入世界前八或前六名;女子链球将承担2008年奥运会夺取奖牌甚至金牌的重任。

Mainly by using mathematical modeling methods, the paper predicts scores of Chinese and the world＇s women triple jump, women pole-vault and women hammer throw（ the women＇s rising events in field）. It can be known through prediction that in 2008, our women hammer throwers will expect to enter the third place in the world that year, and the other two jumpers, with their effort, will expect to enter the first eighth or sixth place in the world. Our women hammer throwers will shoulder the burden to win medals and even a gold medal in 2008 Olympic Games.