摘要
上世纪90年代以来,我国房地产业发展迅速,成为国民经济新的增长点。在中国房地产业发展历程中充满着关于房地产泡沫的争论。特别是近两年来,围绕着经济是否过热,本文从多个角度对我国房地产理论若干问题进行解析。从理论分析入手给出一个解释房地产泡沫的模型,用数据对中国房地产业做了实证分析,分别探讨货币供给、深证指数和上证指数对房价(地产泡沫形成)的影响,最后得出我国房地产业局部过热的结论,并提出若干对策和建议。
Since 90＇ s,the real estate industry of the our country developed quickly,and it became a new growth pole of the national economy. It is filled with the dispute concerning the real estate bubble in the development process of the real estate industry. Especially these several years, the dispute on whether economy is hot,whether bubble exists in the real estate industry is incandesced. In this popor,based on the theoretical analysis,a model that explains the real estate bubble isgiven, then we go on to make practical analysis of the Chinese real estate industry with attainable data, dealing with the impacts the supply of currency,ShengZhen stock index and ShangHai stock index upon the building price（fonnation of the real estate bubble）respoctively. At last,we conclude that bubble partly exists in our country and give some countenneasures and suggestions.
出处
《哈尔滨商业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2007年第1期13-16,共4页
Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
