近年我国宏观经济增长内生动力作用分析

An Analysis on Endogenetic Impetus Effect of Macroeconomy Growth in China

从2001年4季度开始的宏观增长,是由“入世”启动的在消费结构升级、城市化进程加快以及世界工厂地位逐渐形成等三大动力推动下,呈现出较强的内生性的经济增长。此轮增长与10年前大幅度提高货币投放量,以基础设施(公路)为主的固定资产投资的高涨、房地产价格和证券价格的泡沫化以及两位数以上的通货膨胀为特征的经济增长明显不同。一是经济高涨前的经济环境不同;二是经济成长的初始推动力不同;三是经济成长的传导机制不同;四是银行在经济增长中所起的作用不同;五是固定资产投资增长的推动机制不同。此次经济增长的内生动力对中游和上游行业的拉动最终都反映在了钢铁、建材、石化、机械以及煤、电、油、运等方面,并由此导致了宏观调控的结构性调整。

The macroeconomy growth since the fourth quarter,2001, which yeas started by ＂accede to wro＂ and promoted by upgrade of consumer structure, speedup of urbanization process and formation of world factory status, present comparatively prominent endogenetic character. The economic growth aforementioned is obviously different from that of ten years ago, which was characterized by increasing money supply by a big mmgin, upswing of fixed assets investment focused around infrastructure（highway） ,price foam of real estate and security along with inflation of twofigure number and upwards. The first, economic environment before economic upswing is different;the second, initial hnpetus of economic puUulation is different; the third, conduction mechanism of economic pullulation is different; the fourth, the action of bank on economic growth is different; the fifth, pushing mechanism of fixed assets investment increasing is also different. In this article, the author pointed out that the endogenetic impetus of current economic growth had prcmoted both middle reaches and upper reaches trades, which finally reflected in steel, building materials, petrochemical industry, machine, coal, electricity, oil, transportation and so on , and had led to structural adjustment of macroscopic readjustment and control.