我国民族企业出口与FDI企业出口关系——基于非线性动态系统实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Relation between Nation-invested Enterprises Exports and Foreign-invested Enterprises Exports in China based on Nonlinear Dynamical System

以我国1980—2004年数据，应用动态计量学原理建立我国民族企业（CNIEs）出口与FDI企业（FIEs）出口的非线性动态系统（CN-FENLDS）模型，结果表明，FDI企业作为外来企业种群，通过耦合效应方式间接加速推动我国民族企业出口，而我国民族企业出口直接加速FDI企业出口，从而支持“促进论”观点；同时，我国应当对民族企业出口结构进行战略性调整，更重要的还要提升民族企业出口核心竞争力．

Does the inward FDI produce an effect on exports of the host country actually？ This is a problem with disputes, The current predominate method incorporates directly FDI to explain the determinants of exports from linear model in our country. In this paper, dynamic econometrics principle is applied to establish a nonlinear dynamical system model（CN-FENLDS） between China＇ s nation-invested enterprises （CNIEs）exportsand foreign-lnvested enterprises （FIEs） exports. With data from 1980 to 2004, the emprial result shows that FIEs exports exercises the coupling mechanism to improve CNIEs export and the CNIEs exports directly promote FIEs exports, this result support the “promote” standpoint. After all,the strategy adjustment to the structure of CNIEs exports and promotion of the its corecompetence is an urgent task upon us.