评萨克斯和胡永泰的“初始条件”观

Comments on the Initial Condition Views of Sachs J.and Wing Thye Woo

探讨转轨国家经济绩效问题时,会涉及到“初始条件”理论。初始条件有两类,一类与转轨相关,另一类则与转轨不相关。萨克斯和胡永泰对与转轨相关的中俄两国经济绩效的巨大差异进行了分析,但却得出了“与转轨方式无关”的论断,这样,初始条件“与转轨方式无关”的论断就靠不住了。进一步分析可见,既然转轨方式具有内生性,那么究竟是初始条件重要还是转轨方式重要就是一个模糊不清的问题;而且,究竟是第一类初始条件重要还是转轨方式重要就更是一个没有意义的问题。

When discussing the problem of transition country＇ s economic performance, we usually refer to the theory of initial conditions, There are two kinds of initial conditions, one being related to transition and the other being irrelevant. Sachs J. and Wing Thye Woo have an analysis of the enormous difference between China and Russia＇s economic performance, but have obtained the judgment of ＂have nothing to do with transition way ＂. Therefore, the former judgment is no longer reliable. Furthermore, since transition way has inner quality, then that is a confused problem whether the initial condition is important or transition way is important; moreover, it is meaningless to discuss whether the first kind of initial condition is important or transition way is important.