摘要
概要地介绍了灰色系统理论的研究对象,引入了GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,并将灰色预测与马尔柯夫预测方法相结合,建立了一种对GM(1,1)模型进行预测的新方法,克服两种预测法的不足,提高了预测精度。
This paper presents objectives of study of grey system and the GM(1,1)grey forecast model is introduced.A new forecasting method was introduced which combined merits of both grey GM(1,1)forecast and Markov forecast overcome their shortcomings and increased precision of forecast.Finaly, an example for application was given.
出处
《重庆建筑大学学报》
EI
CSCD
1996年第3期116-122,共7页
Journal of Chongqing Jianzhu University
关键词
灰色系统
马氏预测
预测模型
grey system, GM(1,1) forecasting model, markov forecasting model, generating models