我国外汇储备规模的影响因素分析与实证检验

An affected factor analysis on the foreign exchange reserve scale of our country and practical test

我国的外汇储备一直是一个令人关注的问题。本文通过分析影响我国外汇储备规模的各种因素,运用回归分析方法建立了我国外汇储备模型,并且运用历史数据进行实证分析和拟合检验,其效果十分显著,这说明所建立的模型是能够充分体现我国外汇储备的数量关系,最后针对我国外汇储备的实际提出了规模管理的一些政策建议。

The foreign exchange reserve of our country is always a concerned issue by many people .This paper analyzed all kinds of factors which affected the foreign exchange reserve of our country,then I used regressive analysis method to construct a model on the foreign exchange reserve of our country,furthermore I employed the history data to fit the established model to find that the resut is very obvious ,this explained that the model can embody the quantity relationship of the foreign exchange reserve of our country,at last , according to the reality of our country , I put forward some suggestions and policies.