摘要
介绍了有关Markov链的基本概念及一重链状相天预测法的基本原理,根据磐石镍矿七采场二号滑体的位移观测资料,用Markov链状预测方法估价了边坡变形发展趋势。结果表明:用此预测方法估价边坡变形发展的趋势与实际边坡变形发展的趋势相吻合,可见该预测方法是有效且可行的。
Prediction using Markov chain, as a newly prevailing method, was applied to survey the rock mass displacement in No. 7 slope, the Panshi Nickel Mine so as to appraise the rock slope deformation trend. The result indicates that the new prediction method is feasible and effective as the trend predicted corresponds to actuality. Briefly describes the Markov chain and single-overlap chain.
关键词
MARKOV链
岩移月增量
相关预测法
Markov chain,monthly displacement increment,rock mass, matrix of state transition probability ,prediction.
