我国服务业发展与经济增长的因果关系研究——基于东、中、西部面板数据的实证研究

The Causality Relationship between the Development of Services Industry and Economic Growth in China:Based on the Panel Data of Eastern,Central and Western Region of China

本文运用面板单位根检验、协整检验以及误差修正模型等现代计量经济学方法,对我国东部地区、中部地区和西部地区的服务业与经济增长的关系进行实证研究。

based on the unit root tests, co-integration tests and error correction models for panel data, the paper empirically researches the relationship between the development of services industry and economic growth in Chinese Eastern Region, Middle Region and Western Region and forwards the relevant suggestions. The results show that there is obvious difference in three Regions of China, there is a unidirectional long term causality and short term causality from economic growth to service industry in Eastern Region, there is not causality relationship in Middle region, there is a long term and short term causality relationship from services sector to economic growth but only short term causality relationship from economic growth to service industry in Western Region.