人民币进一步升值的分析:大步向前还是步步为营

人民币升值的趋势已不可避免,如何控制升值的幅度成为现在应该考虑的问题。国际上的一些国家以及国内的部分经济学家认为下一步我国应大幅地提高人民币币值。本文从分析人民币升值的利弊出发,通过较为简单的动态过程分析人民币升值的幅度和速度,得出人民币升值应缓缓为之的结论,并提出一些可行的政策建议,以缓解汇率变动带来的经济问题。

The trend of RMB appreciation seems inevitably today. The problem we should consider now is how to control the step of appreciation. Some developed countries and economists hold the opinion that RMB should appreciated a lot recently. In this article, we analyze the advantages and disadvantages of RMB appreciation first. Then with the simple dynamic analysis, we conclude that RMB appreciation should be carried out step by step.