摘要
新兴技术常常能够彻底改变一个行业结构。本文从新兴技术与不连续创新的关系入手,分析了新兴技术的特性,提出了反映新兴技术性能特征的“技术创新的边际效应曲线”,并在Foster的技术S曲线理论的基础上,给出了区分新兴技术与非新兴技术的“新性能过滤线”概念,为企业面临新技术时如何进行技术选择提供了理论依据。
Emerging technologies usually could change the structure of a industry. The characteristics of emerging technologies are illustrated and ＂marginal utility of technological innovations＂ is put forward. Based on the theory of S curve of technology by Foster, a new concept ＂the filter- line for an emerging technology＂ is proposed. The concept is used to differentiate emerging technologies from non -emerging techologies. The ＂filter- line＂ is a usable tool for an enterprise to select emerging technologies when confronting with a number of new technologies.
出处
《科研管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2007年第1期47-52,共6页
Science Research Management
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地基金(04JJD630002)
教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目(01JA630013)
关键词
新兴技术
不连续创新
技术创新的边际效应
新性能过滤线
emerging technology
discontinuous innovation
marginal effect of technological innovation
filter - line
