摘要
本文给出了计算系统保证率的一般公式，运用葛洲坝２号船闸１０余年的运行资料，对三峡船闸几种运行状态的保证率进行了估算。研究表明，在三峡船闸建成初期，可能有一定碍航故障。
An expression for calculating system reliability is given in this article.Then based on the field data of ten years or more operation of Gezhouba ship lock,navigation safe rate of Three Gorges ship lock is studied according to its various operating patterns.The results show that there may be operation failure right after construction of Three Gorges ship lock.
基金
国家自然科学基金
中国长江三峡工程开发总公司联合资助
