我国农产品价格形成机制及波动效应分析

The Study on Forming Mechanisms and Fluctuating Effects of Price of Farm Crops

在市场机制下,基于不同的市场交易,形成农产品集市价格、批发价格和期货价格,三者共同调节农产品市场供求关系。我国粮食价格波动轨迹符合蛛网模型现象,表明农产品供求弹性较小,无论源于供给还是需求方的变化,都会引起农产品价格较大幅度的变化。农产品价格的不稳定性,实质上反映着农业收益的不稳定性。建立农业共生组织,通过市场主体间的共生与协作,形成农业产前、产中和产后各环节的互补性和资源依存性,是稳定农产品价格的一种准市场性的资源配置方式。

Rural fair price, wholesale price and forward price are formed by market＇ mechanisms in different Market transaction, it effects supply and demand of farm crops. Grain price fluctuation tally with Cobweb model, because of lower price elasticity of farm crops, changing of supply or demand will lead to a big margin price fluctuation. Shaky price of farm crops effect shaky agricultural revenue. Fostering agricultural symbiosis organization, with their symbiosis and cooperation, forming every link complementation and resource depend of agricultural produce process, is one kind of paramarket allocation of resources way of price stabilizing of farm crops.