利用移动平均法预测油气井产量

Predicting Well Yield by Moving Average Method

移动平均法是一种时间序列预测法,当时间序列没有明显的趋势变动时,使用移动平均就能够准确地反映实际情况。应用该方法,对单井产量及日产油能力进行了预测。实例证明,采用移动平均法得到的预测值是较真实的。

Moving average method is one of time series forecasting method, if time series have no apparent tendency moving, using moving average method can accurately reflect actual situation. The paper predicts per well production and oil productive capacity per day by moving average method, the example demonstrates predictive from moving average method is relative truth.