科技对农民增收贡献的实证研究——以苏州农村为例

Empirical Study on Contribution of Science and Technology to Farmer's Income Growth—A Case Study of Suzhou

本文首先应用苏州实际GNP、资本存量、劳动力的序列数据直观分析了农民收入的趋势和源泉．在此基础上应用C-D生产函数建立农民收入的计量经济学模型．并估计出各要素的边际产出弹性,随后进一步应用索洛余值法估计科技进步对农民收入增长的贡献,并对计量结果进行了简要的理论分析,并据此提出了相应的结论。

This paper first gave an intuitive explanation oft he tendency and the origin of the farmer income using Suzhou＇ s actual GNP, the capital storage quantity, the labor force time-series data, and on this basis, establishes the econometrics model using the C-D production function, then estimated the marginal output elasticity of various essential factors, afterwards further estimated the contribution of the technology advance to the farmer income growth, applying the Solow residual value methods. The paper finally has carried on the brief theoretical analysis to the result, and proposed the corresponding conclusion and the policy implications.