南京秋季干旱的分析与预测

ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE DRIER IN AUTUMN IN NANJING

本文根据世界气象组织提出的气候异常指标，结合南京的降水量实际情况，确定了秋季旱涝划分等级标准，运用统计检验、公度法和水分平衡观点给出了预测南京秋季干旱的途径。

Based on the index of climate anomaly provided by the WMO and the total precipitation analysis in autumn in NanJing, drought/flood levels in autumn in NanJing are found it is concluded that statistical test commensurable number calculation and hydrologic balance can be ued to foreast the drier in autumn in NanJing