小水电工程施工水土流失预测方法研究——以湖北省通山县宝石水电站为例

Research on water-and-soil erosion forecasting method of Baoshi hydropower project in Tongshan

本文在对现行小水电水土流失的预测方法进行比较的基础上,分析了容易使预测结果产生偏差的影响因素,提出了工程类比和专家预测相结合的定性定量的预测方法,并结合湖北省通山县宝石水电站的具体情况详细探讨了工程类比和专家预测相结合法的应用,指出预测时应注意分时段和分区的二维预测,有利于小水电水土流失的防治和综合治理。

In this paper, basing on the analysis and compare of the current forecasting methods, project analogism＆specialist forecasting method was put forward as a more accurately qualitative and quantitative forecasting method according with China＇s actual situation and water-and-soil erosion characteristic. And this paper discussed project analogism＆specialist forecasting method application in the newly-built Baoshi hydropower project in Tongshan. Two-dimensional method should be used in the project analogism analogism＆specialist forecasting, which is staged and sub-district forecast.