辽宁及邻区地震活动预测

The Prediction of Seismicity in Liaoning Province and its Surrounding Regions

本文应用灰色系统理论，根据辽宁省及邻区所发生过地震的时间和强度（震级），对未来的地震活动趋势进行了预测，并对预测模型的精度进行了检验．结果表明，应用这一理论进行预测，能够体现出地震活动的特点，使理论值与实际情况相符合．

The Grey-system theory is used to predict the seismicity in liaoning province and its surrounding regions according to the earthquake time occurrence and its magnitudes, And the accuracy of prediction models is also examined. The results showed that using this theorg to do prediction can fully reflect the regional seismic characteristics. It made the computed values in coordinate with the real situatians.