基于D-S证据理论的导弹武器系统效能评价

Effective Evaluation of Missile Weapon System Based on D-S Evidence Theory

导弹武器系统的效能评价是有人参与的复杂系统评价问题.针对该类问题评价的复杂性和不确定性以及多属性群决策性,提出采用D-S证据理论对系统的导弹武器系统效能进行评价,给出了D-S证据理论用于系统效能评价的方法.证据理论综合了来自各个专家的评价信息,能够使得评价过程更加合理.仿真结果初步表明D-S证据理论在系统效能评价中具有一定的适用性.

The effective evaluation of the missile weapon system includes the action of mankind. Aiming at the complexity and uncertainty of the missile weapon system and the characters of group decision making, we adopt D-S evidence theory method to deal the effective evaluation. The steps of the method were presented. D-S evidence Theory can integrate all kinds of information coming from every expert. It made the evaluation results much more reasonable. The simulation example showed the applicability and superiority of D-S evidence theory in system effective evaluation.