入境旅游:基于引力模型的实证研究被引量：86

Inbound Tourism:an Empirical Research Based on Gravity Model of International Trade

下载PDF

导出

摘要本文利用传统的国际贸易引力模型,考察了影响中国入境旅游的一些因素,包括经济发展水平、绝对距离、地理与文化上的差异性(共同性)、是否属于同一个贸易区,以及国家之间是否免签证等。我们发现,这些因素对解释变量具有明确的影响,但影响最大的是绝对距离和经济发展水平。在上述基础上,我们考察了入境旅游对几个主要变量的扰动所形成的响应路径。 The paper, making use of traditional gravity model of international trade, analyses some factors that influence China＇ s inbound tourism. These factors mainly include economic development level, absolute distance, hetergeneity of geography and culture, belonging to the same trade zone and exemption from visas between nations. We find that these factors have definite influence on the explanation of variables. But what influences most is absolute distance and economic development level.

作者郭为

机构地区青岛大学旅游学院

出处《旅游学刊》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第3期30-34,共5页 Tourism Tribune

关键词引力模型吸引力面板数据 gravity model attractiveness panel data

分类号 F592 [经济管理—旅游管理]

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献16

1Tingergen J. Shaping the world economy, an analysis of world trade flows [M]. New York: Twentieth Century Fund, 1962.
2Poyhonen P. A tentative model of the volume of trade between countries[J]. Economics and Finance Archire, 1963, 90 (1), 35-35.
3Linnemann H . An econometric study in international trade flows [M].Amsterdam: Elsevier, 1966,324 - 331.
4Leamer A. Determinants of bilateral trade : does gravity work in a neoclassical world [J]. Journal of Comparative Economics ,2002, 110:281 - 312.
5Bergstrand H. The gravity equation in international trade: some microeconomic foundations and empirical evidence [ J ]. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1985, 67:474 - 481.
6Bergstnmd H. The generalized gravity equation, monopolistic competition and factor proportions theory in international trade [J].Review of Economics and Statistics, 1989, 64-72.
7盛斌,廖明中.中国的贸易流量与出口潜力:引力模型的研究[J].世界经济,2004,27(2):3-12. 被引量：450
8Wei S. Attracting foreign direct investment: has China reached its potential? [J]. China Economic Renew, 1995, 43 - 54.
9Inmaculada. Factor movements on gravity model [ J ]. Journal of Economic Geography, 1983, 56 - 64.
10谷克鉴.国际经济学对引力模型的开发与应用[J].世界经济,2001,24(2):14-25. 被引量：171

二级参考文献77

1王荣昌等主编.《世界近现代史》[M].吉林人民出版社,1981..
2[2]Bayoumi T. et Eichengreen B., 1995, "Is Regionalism Simply a Diversion? Evidence From the Evolution of the Ec and Efta," NBER working paper W5283.
3[3]Blonigen B., 1999, "In Search of Substitution Between Foreign Production and Exports," NBER working paper W7154.
4[4]Brun J.F. et Renard M.F., 1998, "Concentration ou Dispersion des Activité: Commerce Extérieur et Spécialisations Régionales en Chine," paper presented in international conference on Chinese economy.
5[5]DeardorffA., 1995, "Determinants of Bilateral Trade: Does Gravity Work in a Neoclassical World?" NBER working paper W5377.
6[6]Eaton j. et Kortum S., 1997, "Technology and Bilateral Trade," NBER workingpaper W6253.
7[7]Eaton J. et Tamura A., 1995, "Bilateral and Regionalism in Japanese and U.S. Trade and Direct Foreign Investment Patterns," NBER working paper W4758.
8[8]Eichengreen B. et Irwin D., 1996, "The Role of History in Bilateral Trade Flows," NBER working paper W 5565.
9[9]Evenett S. et Keller W., 1998, "On Theories Explaining the Success of the Gravity Equation," NBER working paper W6529.
10[10]Feenstra P., Markusen J. et Rose A., 1998, "Equation: The Role of Differentiating Goods," NBER working paper W6804.