不确定性决策的逻辑心智模型研究

Study on Logic Mental Model of Uncertainty Decision Making

提出了非根本不确定性决策逻辑心智模型和根本不确定性决策逻辑心智模型,它们分别能够说明包含频率信息表征的惯例决策与单一决策。论证了坚持唯一决策逻辑立场的决策理论的缺陷。二元不确定性决策逻辑心智模型理论对于社会科学的认知转向,包括认知经济学的兴起,具有重要的方法论意义。

This paper developed the logic mental model of non-fundamental uncertainty decision making ,and the logic mental model of fundamental uncertainty decision making,they can explain both routine decision making and single-event decision making.Thereout,we demonstrated the logic limitation of main theory of decision making.The theory of two kind of logic mental models of uncertainty decision making have important methodology implication about cognitive tam in social science.