中国发展指数的编制研究

Studies on the Making of China's Development Index

为了实现全面协调可持续的发展,亟须建立一套科学的测量指标体系与统计指数,度量和评价中国各地区的发展状况和态势。利用指数功效函数的改进模型编制的“中国人民大学中国发展指数”(2006)对我国2004年和2005年31个省级行政区的中国发展指数进行了测算和排序,并对我国省级行政区进行了聚类分析,发现了我国在社会经济发展过程中的区域结构性特点。中国发展指数测量指标体系的建立,对于科学评价我国社会经济的发展水平及其地区差异,制定地区发展的宏观政策,具有一定的借鉴意义。

With regard to the dominating concepts of scientific development and harmonious society, scientific judgment toward and precise evaluation of the current course of development became virtually significant in our society. In the interest of realization of comprehensive, harmonious and sustainable development, an urging and momentous mission of our time is expected to be resolved： establishment of a set of scientific measuring index system and statistic index, as well as measurement and evaluation of China＇s geographic disparity in economic development. Hence, in this article, the authors commit to setting up measuring index system of China＇s development index. Taking advantage of the modified model of Exponential Effective Function, the authors try to create China＇s Develop- ment Index, CDI of Renmin University 2006, and on this basis, measures and rank China＇s Development Index of all 31 provincial administrative regions throughout China in 2004 and 2005 respectively. Furthermore, this article conducts Cluster Analysis of China＇s provincial administrative regions and successfully discovers the regional structural characteristics in China＇s economic development. This research result will contribute to the scientific evaluation of China＇s economic growth and regional differences, as well as to the macro-policy making for regional development.