世界经济周期的贸易传导机制被引量：14

International Trade Transmission and World Business Cycles

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摘要贸易究竟如何影响经济波动在世界范围内的传递?对这一问题的回答,必须结合与贸易有关的其他经济变量加以研究。实证研究证实了“贸易发展与经济周期的协动性具有正向关系”的结论,并且更深入地指出影响协动性的关键是贸易强度,而非受贸易模式影响的产业结构和贸易结构。在理论上,学者们在基础模型的基础上不断地加入了一些新元素,如不可贸易品、南北贸易模式等,试图对贸易传导机制进行更详细的描述,并力图解决两国模型中产生的“数量异常”和“价格异常”。 How does international trade transmit business fluctuation from one region to the other Empirical research confirms that there is positive relation between trade and business cycles′ co-movement, and points out that the key factor is 'bilateral trade intensity', not 'industrial similarity' or 'trade similarity'. In theoretically, to attack two anomalies, which arise from base models, scholars develop some multi-sector models highlighting the role of non-traded goods and north-south trade patterns. These models contain a stronger mechanism for the transmission of business cycles than base models.

作者宋玉华高莉

机构地区浙江大学经济学院

出处《世界经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第3期19-25,共7页 World Economy Studies

关键词不可贸易品南北贸易数量异常价格异常

分类号 F740 [经济管理—国际贸易]

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