摘要
2006年中国燃料油市场发展呈现新的特点:受国际油价大幅上涨和大幅波动的影响,燃料油价格先是大涨,后大幅回落,但年均价格高于2005年总体水平。燃料油产量由以前的平稳增长转为较2005年大幅下降6.3%,至2264.7万吨。表观消费量微增0.2%,至4801.70万吨。燃料油进口量在2005年同比大幅下降14.2%之后,2006年开始反弹,同比增加7.4%,至2793.16万吨。其中,广东占全国进口总量的份额萎缩至五成以下,而山东异军突起,稳占两成之重。燃料油进口来源地出现多元化趋势。市场集中度进一步提高,进口企业前六甲在全国燃料油进口总量中所占比重增至七成,地方和民营企业的进口比重开始增加。燃料油主要以一般贸易方式进口,但其所占比重逐年下降,下降的份额被保税方式所替代。燃料油出口量仍保持基数小、增幅大的势头。预计2007年中国燃料油需求将略有下降,表观消费量将降至4700万吨左右。
New trends emerged in China's fuel oil market in 2006,including among others the fuel oil price's roller coaster ride in sympathy with the big spike and fluctuations in the global oil price. The annual average fuel oil price in 2006 was higher than that of 2005. Fuel oil production reduced by 6.3% from 2005,and apparent consumption went up by 0.2% to 47.8975 million tons. After a sharp decline of 14.2% in 2005,fuel oil imports rebounded in 2006,recording a 7.4% year-on-year increase. Guangdong's imports as a percentage of the national total shrunk to less than 50%,while Shandong's share went up to 20%. The number of origins of imported fuel oil rose,while the demand-side of the market showed signs of concentration. Combined fuel oil imports by the six largest importers accounted for 70% of the total,but the portion accounted for by local and private businesses was expanding. Fuel oil was still imported primarily through general trade,but the proportion of the fuel oil imported this way was declining thanks to the rise in imports through bonded warehouse. Fuel oil exports continued their impressive increase. China's fuel oil demand is expected to decrease a bit in 2007,with apparent consumption perhaps reducing to 47 million tons.
出处
《国际石油经济》
2007年第2期49-54,共6页
International Petroleum Economics
