摘要
运用系统动力学方法,对长春市社会经济发展进行系统动态仿真建模.将长春市社会经济发展系统划分为人口、资源、产业、社会总产值等四个子系统,并对各个子系统进行了综合研究,根据系统动态仿真曲线和仿真数据,预测了未来15年长春市社会经济发展的变化趋势.
It uses system dynamics method to carry out system dynamic simulation found pattern to the socioeconomic development in Changchun. It classified four subsystem-population, resource, industry and society production of Changchun. After that, it has carried on synthetic study to each subsystem, and according to system dynamic simulation curve and data, it also analyzes the outcomes and forecasts the change trends of economic development in the following 15years in Changchun.
出处
《东北师大学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2007年第1期119-125,共7页
Journal of Northeast Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(40571068)
吉林省环保局科技项目(2005-05)
关键词
区域经济发展
系统动力学
仿真模型
长春市
region economic
systemic dynamics
simulation model
Changchun city