世界经济体系中的中国经济:前景与挑战——诺贝尔经济学奖获得者罗伯特·蒙代尔教授在武汉理工大学的演讲

China in the World Economy:Prospects and Challenges——A Speech at Wuhan University of Technology by Professor Robert A.Mundell,the Winner of the Nobel Prize for Economics

推动中国经济迅速发展的10个主要因素中包括人民学习的热情和致富的愿望,对新技术和创新的热情,稳定的政治环境,国际和平,外商直接投资,货币稳定,与美国的贸易顺差以及对外开放等。中国经济在世界经济的非均衡发展中仍存在着长期和短期的挑战。最近中国汇率政策的变化并不是一个巨大的转折,人民币在短期内大幅升值对中国和世界都不利。

The ten factors that drive the econnomic development in China include the drive to perform and desire to learn, enthusiasm for new technology and innovation, stable political system, international peace, foreign direct investment,monetary stability, trade surplus with the United States and etc. However,in the global economic disequilibrium,Chinese economic development still encounters challenges in long term and short term. The recent shift in its exchange rate policy is not a big change. But a sharp appreciation of RMB would be harmful both for China and the world.