新凯恩斯框架下最优货币政策规则理论及在我国的实证研究

The Optimal Interest Rate Monetary Policy Theory and the Empirical Analysis in China Based on the New Keynesian Economics

本文详细介绍了新凯恩斯经济学下IS曲线和Phillips曲线的理论渊源和两种主要货币政策规则的思想,并针对我国的经济数据进行实证检验。研究发现:我国的经济运行符合新凯恩斯经济下的前瞻性IS曲线和Phillips曲线,在此基础上模拟最优利率规则结果较理想。

This paper describes the theory origin of the IS curve and Phillips curve under the frame of New Keynesian Economics and the two monetary policy rules in detail. Based on the theory above, this paper does an empirical test for Chinese economy, the empirical results show that the economic data in China fit the looking -for- ward IS curve and Phillips curve under the New Keynesian Economics well, the simulation results of the optimal interest monetary policy rule is also ideal.