数字油田建设经济效益与风险分析

Economic Benefits and Risk Analysis in Construction of Numerical Oilfield

数字油田是一项超大规模的信息化建设工程,所受的各类影响因素极多,并且极其复杂,致使经济效益和风险分析较为困难。对信息化建设项目,特别是大型信息化建设项目,尚无成熟的方法进行经济评价和风险分析。利用蒙特卡罗模拟[2][5]对数字油田建设的经济效益与风险进行分析尝试,有望对信息化建设工作者提供一种参考。

Numerical oilfield is super large - scale information - based construction engineering, and can be affected by many various factors and very complicated, which lead to economic benefit and risk analysis more difficult. As for information -based construction project, especially the large scale one, there still has been no proven method to analyze economic benefit and risk. Trying to use Monte Carlo simulation to carry out economic benefit and risk analysis for the numerical oilfield construction is expected to provide a kind of reference to the information - based construction workers.